Baja Hurricane Study
I analyzed the record of named storms that hit or approached Baja
from 1996 through 2004. I used data posted by Tom
Metcalf of the University of Hawaii. Click
to link to Tom's web site.
I did the analysis out of curiosity as to the likely behavior of
major storms in the areas we plan to cruise. This is an
analysis of weather systems which are quite capable of breaking
historical trends. Nevertheless, I confirmed and made the following
- October 31
is the end of storm season in the Baja.
- Northern Baja rarely experiences
named storms stronger than gale force.
- Central Baja saw three named
storms in the last 10 years stronger than gale force.
- Storm frequency increases to the
- September is the biggest month for
- October is the second biggest
month for named storms.
- Most named storms track west or
Northwest across the Pacific.
- Some named storms turn north or
Northwest and hit Baja and very occasionally California.
No name storms and gales are likely a factor so
as always preparation for rough weather and vigilance would seem
appropriate regardless of the season.
You can download the my summary data by clicking
has the detail data of all the named storms world wide. (and some
un-named). You can
also get my zip file containing the Baja related hurricane tracks and summary
data for the Baja related storms by clicking
American's NOAA web site is at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. NOAA has am email based tropical
storm warning system useful for tracking current storm activity.